Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 18.677348 21.710383 25.024814 28.908281 33.326052 38.187367 43.933773
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 14.757293 19.192097 24.530868 31.393149 39.937553 50.180500 63.339275
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.572470 16.474320 22.848065 31.656027 43.410759 58.442906 78.986053
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.217612 14.181757 21.073893 31.194602 45.498087 64.778942 92.473866
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.396794 12.207453 19.290427 30.265355 46.572444 69.576977 104.057661
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.237662 10.964300 18.297554 30.211339 48.703403 75.834995 118.010747
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.386048 10.034991 17.602340 30.436553 51.154762 82.635146 133.174059
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.328924 8.566844 15.814193 28.655940 50.223982 84.163744 140.424592
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.925869 8.172098 15.738272 29.638308 53.752823 92.794467 159.207146
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.665926 7.993733 16.000089 31.198381 58.345170 103.427546 181.898421
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.135732 7.199696 15.035978 30.454898 58.883338 107.409513 193.987988
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.621216 6.344641 13.833080 29.110451 58.186336 109.192332 202.446283
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.495823 6.321836 14.298652 31.079744 63.883269 122.760439 232.619949
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.415466 6.393881 14.981478 33.586734 70.894117 139.321869 269.477252
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.142802 5.969931 14.568758 33.837061 73.610724 148.374345 293.692870
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.852162 5.441647 13.846644 33.341376 74.785288 154.642961 313.276216
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.572553 4.879317 12.955632 32.353558 74.830982 158.732177 329.042567
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.390268 4.534823 12.515075 32.295977 76.777476 166.598445 352.460120
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.247774 4.269655 12.223507 32.535083 79.363282 175.894069 379.241456
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.021547 3.706264 11.092560 30.643986 77.085314 175.198710 386.303779
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.954869 3.614645 11.169528 31.687386 81.469883 188.485432 422.207188
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.917731 3.609790 11.478451 33.343961 87.406029 205.421675 466.582941
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.793887 3.287642 10.860658 32.554551 87.543994 210.034303 485.812201